Politics
Labour edges ahead of National in Anacta poll as Opportunity hits 5% threshold
Labour has narrowly overtaken National in a new poll, with both major parties losing support and the Greens surging to their best result since 2017.
Thread
2026 election polling and coalition outlook
Who covered this thread
NZ Herald 8 of 12 Otago Daily Times 6 of 12 1News 5 of 12 Newstalk ZB 5 of 12 interest.co.nz 4 of 12 Stuff 4 of 12 The Spinoff 3 of 12 BusinessDesk 2 of 12 Newsroom 2 of 12 beehive 0 of 12 RNZ 0 of 12
How many of this thread’s stories each outlet we track filed something on. A zero means no article of theirs reached any story here — an absence, not an accusation.
The story so far
Politics
National and Labour tied at 28% with Opportunity holding balance of power in new poll
A new 1News Verian poll shows National and Labour level-pegged at 28%, leaving the Opportunity Party as kingmaker in a 125-seat Parliament.
Politics
Coalition retains majority in latest Taxpayers’ Union-Curia poll as NZ First surges
New Zealand First jumped 3.6 points to 12% in the Taxpayers' Union-Curia poll, extending the current coalition's path to majority government with 65 projected seats.
Politics
National crashes below 26% as Greens surge and Opportunity holds balance of power
Two new polls show National's support collapsing while Greens reach record highs, leaving the Opportunity Party essential to any coalition government.
Politics
SME owners shift toward Labour as National’s coalition lead slips in election survey
A poll of more than 500 small business owners shows National support at 36% and Labour at 28%, with coalition parties falling below 50% backing.
Politics
Māori voters turn to Greens in Mata-Horizon poll as cost of living dominates
A new Mata-Horizon poll shows the Green Party leading among Māori roll voters at 28%, surging 17 points since the 2023 election ahead of the 7 November vote.
Politics
Chlöe Swarbrick demands portfolios after Greens hit record 16% poll
Green co-leader Chlöe Swarbrick says her party will demand ministerial positions including Finance if its record 16% polling result holds at November's election.
Politics
Greens hit record 16% as National and Labour stall in latest 1News poll
The Green Party has surged to 16% in a 1News Verian poll, its highest ever, while National and Labour both sit at 28% with two weeks until the 7 November election.
Politics
Greens surge to record 16% as National and Labour stall at 28% in latest poll
The Green Party has hit its highest ever polling at 16% in a 1News Verian survey, while National and Labour both dropped to 28%, two weeks before the November 7 election.
Politics
Two-thirds of Kiwis back wealth tax as Labour’s grip on main issues weakens
A new survey shows 64% of New Zealanders support a wealth tax, but Labour's perceived ability to manage the country's five top concerns has declined.
Politics
Māori rate Government poorly in new poll as cost of living dominates concerns
A new poll shows 72% of Māori voters rate the Government's job performance as poor, with cost of living cited as the biggest issue facing Māori.
Politics
Labour slumps to 31% in latest poll but holds one-point lead over National
Labour has dropped to 31% in a new corporate poll, down three to four points, but remains narrowly ahead of National on 30%, with the Opportunity Party likely to hold the balance of power.